You may be hearing a lot of talk about a possible winter storm this weekend, but with the forecast still evolving, here's a look at what we know, and what remains uncertain for the Lower Hudson Valley.

The News 12 Storm Watch Team continues to closely monitor whether a significant winter storm will impact the Lower Hudson Valley from Sunday into Monday, or if the region will see limited or no impacts at all. At this point, all outcomes remain on the table.

If this storm does track close enough to affect our area, the window for impacts would likely begin Sunday afternoon and continue into at least part of Monday. With the system still about five days away, pinpointing an exact track, and therefore, is not yet possible. The science doesn't allow for that level of precision this far out.

A strong winter storm is expected to develop to the south and west of the Lower Hudson Valley. The key question remains how close that storm ultimately tracks to our region.

By Thursday, forecast confidence should increase significantly. At that point, we'll have a clearer idea of whether this system trends toward a direct impact, a glancing blow or a miss for the Lower Hudson Valley. This is when it will make sense to begin planning, should the threat of impactful snow become more likely.

Once we have more reliable track data late in the week, you'll see our first call snowfall outlook for the Lower Hudson Valley. That initial estimate will come by Friday night at the latest, with refinements continuing through Saturday as the forecast sharpens and higher-confidence data comes in.

Stay with News 12 for hyperlocal weather updates throughout the day, on air, online, on social media, and through the News 12 app. We'll continue to bring you frequent updates with the latest information as we track the potential for Sunday's storm and the incoming arctic air.

Latest Forecast Breakdown:

The bone-chilling cold will continue through Wednesday morning. Surface and wind chill temperatures will be in the single digits. There will be some improvements by the afternoon as temperatures climb into the low 30s, but still feel like the 20s.

A brief break from the frigid air will come our way on Thursday. Temperatures will rise towards above normal levels for this time of year. This will help to melt some of the recent snow around the area as well as allowing us to go outside without feeling that harsh rush of chilly air hitting us in the face. It is the "Pick of the Week," simply for the fact it will be the warmest day of the 10-day forecast.

Arctic air will once more plunge into the region come Friday and into the weekend. Temperatures will be far from normal, staying in the teens on the surface, and feel like the single digits throughout the day and night. Along with the cold comes another chance for snow Sunday into Monday. There is a high level of uncertainty regarding the impact of this system. Be sure to stay up with our changing forecast over the coming days.

OVERNIGHT: BITTER BLAST - Mostly clear skies and bitterly cold temps. Lows: single digits to low teens

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny to mostly cloudy with a late mixed shower chance. Highs: low 30s. Lows: mid- to upper 20s.

THURSDAY: PICK OF THE WEEK- A mix of sun and clouds with temps rising above seasonal levels. Highs: upper 30s to low 40s. Lows: upper 10s to low 20s.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy and breezy at times. Highs: upper 20s to low 30s. Lows: upper single digits to low teens

SATURDAY: Bitterly cold and mostly cloudy. Wind chill values will be in the single digits. Highs: mid-teens. Lows: around 8 degrees.