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Siena poll: 50% of likely voters think Gov. Hochul will win, 41% side with Blakeman

The margin increased by a percentage point for both candidates from August.

News 12 Staff

Sep 23, 2026, 7:22 AM

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A new Siena poll shows that half of likely voters believe Kathy Hochul will win the governor’s race, while 41% are siding with Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman.

The margin increased by a percentage point for both candidates from August.

When asked if President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Blakeman is negative for Blakeman’s campaign, 51%-30% of pollsters agreed.

Meanwhile, 50%-30% of pollsters agreed that Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement of Hochul is positive for her campaign.

Blakeman issued the following response to the poll on Wednesday:

“All polls continue to show Kathy Hochul’s downward spiral and me closing the gap as New Yorkers learn more about my plan to cut income taxes by historic margins and slash electric bills in half. And let’s remember: at this point in the 2022 race, a Siena poll had Lee Zeldin trailing Kathy Hochul by 17 points. Today, our race is in single digits, with one-third of New Yorkers still needing to learn more about me.”

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